WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld on Wednesday disputed a Pentagon-commissioned study that warns the Army needs more troops for Iraq and Afghanistan, telling reporters the service is nowhere close to its breaking point.
The study by Andrew Krepinevich, a military analyst and former Army officer, found that the Army's manpower needs for those conflicts "clearly exceed those available for the mission…"
Rumsfeld said he has not read the study but took issue with its conclusions.
And that's what you really look for in a Secretary of Defense in a time of "war": a guy who doesn't read reports commissioned by his own Pentagon, but amazingly is still able to conclude those reports are wrong.
In other words, Donald Rumsfeld can't define pornography for you, but he knows it when he doesn't see it.
With this guy in charge, it's frankly a miracle how well the Iraq disaster has gone.
"There isn't any reason in the world why we shouldn't be able to maintain -- with an active and reserve total-force concept of 2 million people -- why we shouldn't be able to maintain 138,000, even though I don't expect we will maintain 138,000 in Iraq," he said.
No reason in the world, huh? Nothing? At all? How about...
The 136-page study warns that the strain on what it called the Army's "thin green line" -- not the improvement of Iraqi and Afghan forces -- are driving plans to withdraw some troops in 2006. Rumsfeld called that "just false."
Apparently, a Pentagon commissioned report managed to fill up one hundred and thirty six pages without coming up with one single reason why we can't maintain an army of occupation in Iraq for a dozen years, or so.
I don't know which is more amazing--that the Pentagon could issue a 136 page report that says nothing or that Rumsfeld, without reading it, can confidently say it's false.
I don't know why we should doubt Donald Rumsfeld about this. I mean, after all, he didn't read a bunch of other stuff, which he proclaimed to be false, as well, and nothing bad happened then.
For instance, he didn't read the reports from the CIA which argued that reconstructing Iraq was likely to be difficult and result in armed opposition:
Veterans of other conflicts soon identified security as the most important requirement for early relief and long-term stability…
Similarly, the intelligence agencies, especially the CIA, were "utterly consistent in arguing that reconstruction rather than war would be the most problematic segment of overthrowing Saddam," a senior administration official said. In classified written and oral reports, the official continued, the intelligence community warned the administration "early and often" about obstacles U.S. authorities were likely to face.
In particular, the agencies repeatedly predicted that Hussein loyalists might try to sabotage U.S. postwar efforts by destroying critical economic targets, the official said. One analysis warned that Iraqis "would probably resort to obstruction, resistance and armed opposition if they perceived attempts to keep them dependent on the United States and the West."
Those concerns, however, were secondary among the principal architects of the Iraq policy, who were concentrated in the Defense Department…
Without reading that, Rumsfeld determined such concerns were false.
And Rumsfeld also, without reading, determined that the State Department's exhaustive "Future of Iraq" project report, which predicted an armed insurgency and detailed the necessary steps to reconstruct Iraq, was also false.
The circle of civilian Pentagon officials given the task of planning the occupation was small. From its early work, it all but excluded officials at State and even some from the Pentagon, including officers of the Joint Staff.
"The problems came about when the office of the secretary of defense wouldn't let anybody else play -- or play only if you beat your way into the game," a State Department official said. "There was so much tension, so much ego involved."
The Pentagon planners showed little interest in State's Future of Iraq project, a $5 million effort begun in April 2002 to use Iraqi expatriates and outside experts to draft plans on everything from legal reform to oil policy. Wolfowitz created his own group of Iraqi advisers to cover some of the same ground.
Defense rejected at least nine State nominees for prominent roles in the occupation; only after Powell and others fought back did Rumsfeld relent. Tom Warrick, leader of the Future of Iraq project, was still refused a place, at the reported insistence of Cheney's office.
In fact, not only did Rumsfeld not read the Future Of Iraq project report, but, hell, he didn't even read the memos telling him he should read it:
One month before the U.S. invasion of Iraq, three State Department bureau chiefs warned of "serious planning gaps for post-conflict public security and humanitarian assistance" in a secret memorandum prepared for a superior…
Many senior State Department officials are still bitter about what they see as the Pentagon's failure to take seriously their planning efforts, particularly in the "Future of Iraq" project…
In the memo, the three bureau chiefs offered to provide technical assistance to help the Central Command develop new plans to ensure law and order as well as humanitarian aid after the invasion…
What else did Rumsfeld tell us was false without even bothering to read? Concerns by his Chief of Staff that several hundred thousand troops would be needed to occupy Iraq and that the occupation might be prolonged:
A senior administration official who briefed reporters Monday on condition of anonymity said Rumsfeld "has right along said that he thought that fighting was likely to last weeks, not months." Rumsfeld told troops last month that "it could last, you know, six days, six weeks. I doubt six months." Rumsfeld also contradicted the Army chief of staff, who told the Senate that "several hundred thousand" troops would be needed to occupy Iraq. "Far off the mark," Rumsfeld said.
Far off the mark. Just false. What else did Rummy tell us was just plain old false, and far off the mark and a waste of time even thinking about?
WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The number of U.S. troops that would be required to administer Iraq after a U.S.-led military campaign is "not knowable" because of the large number of variables in how a conflict might unfold, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said Thursday…
He also said it "makes no sense to try" to come up with cost estimates for a war in Iraq because the variables "create a range that simply isn't useful."
However, Rumsfeld said the post-war troop commitment would be less than the number of troops required to win the war. He also said "the idea that it would take several hundred thousand U.S. forces, I think, is far from the mark."
In September, White House economic adviser Lawrence Lindsey estimated the cost of a war at more than $100 billion. After Lindsey was asked to resign in December, Mitch Daniels, the director of the Office of Management and Budget, said it was impossible to know how much a war might cost…
A report from the Congressional Budget Office released last fall was far more modest in its estimate of the cost of war with Iraq. That report said it would cost between $9 billion and $13 billion to deploy troops to Iraq and that it would take up to another $9 billion a month to run the war.
Everything, Rummy tell us, is not knowable, flat out false, far off the mark, and a waste of time to even think about. The only source of information, according to Rumsfeld, that's reliable at all is Rumsfeld's mouth.
And, yet, Lawrence Lindsey wasn't all that far off the mark. And Shinseki, today, is looking like Casandra. And how about those monthly costs for Iraq?
The Pentagon is spending nearly $5 billion per month in Iraq and Afghanistan, a pace that would bring yearly costs to almost $60 billion. Those expenses do not include money being spent on rebuilding Iraq's electric grid, water supply and other infrastructure, costs which had no parallel in Vietnam.
Not quite the nine billion the CBO said, but then again, we don't really know the true cost for Iraq.
As a result, the survival rate among Americans hurt in Iraq is higher than in any previous war - seven to eight survivors for every death, compared with just two per death in World War II.
But that triumph is also an enduring hardship of the war. Survivors are coming home with grave injuries, often from roadside bombs, that will transform their lives: combinations of damaged brains and spinal cords, vision and hearing loss, disfigured faces, burns, amputations, mangled limbs, and psychological ills like depression and post-traumatic stress…
…As of Jan. 14, the Defense Department reported, 11,852 members of the military had been wounded in explosions - from so-called improvised explosive devices, or I.E.D.'s, mortars, bombs and grenades…
So many who survive explosions - more than half - sustain head injuries that doctors say anyone exposed to a blast should be checked for neurological problems. Brain damage, sometimes caused by skull-penetrating fragments, sometimes by shock waves or blows to the head, is a recurring theme.
More than 1,700 of those wounded in Iraq are known to have brain injuries, half of which are severe enough that they may permanently impair thinking, memory, mood, behavior and the ability to work.
Medical treatment for brain injuries from the Iraq war will cost the government at least $14 billion over the next 20 years, according to a recent study by researchers at Harvard and Columbia.
Tack on another 14 billion dollars for the last three years, and we're pretty close to nine billion a month. And I'd bet almost anything that this administration is hiding an assload of other costs for Iraq. Costs we won't know about until after Bush is back on the ranch, getting brush faced.
What's the point? I don't even know.
Sure, Rumsfeld, the Secretary of Defense, at a time of "war", can't be bothered to read Pentagon reports about his army, or massive State Department reports about Iraq, or memos about how he isn't reading reports about his army and Iraq, and the cost of all that.
But he's part of the Bush administration. Not reading important gubment related thingies is apparently a job requirement. Katrina? Missed the memo. WMDs? Missed that footnote in the NIE. Reports about terrorists trying to blow up the Pentagon with airplanes? Didn't read them. PDBs about bin Laden attacking America? Bush was on vacation. That's when he likes to read about salt.
Six years in the White House, the two worst intelligence failures in the history of the world, two fighting wars--neither finished--and a perpetual "War On Terra", which requires rescinding the Constitution, and through all of this, the only thing anyone has bothered to read?
Yep, that's right. My Pet Goat.
Great. If terrorists, insurgents, "Saddamists", dead-enders, suiciders, or militant fundamental Islamists attack us with pet goats or salt, this administration is ready to rock and roll.
But if anyone, anywhere, tries anything that's been thoroughly documented in a thousand page government report, forwarded with frantic memos, and publicly discussed on live TV, we're fucked. Because there isn't any chance in hell anyone in the Bush administration has bothered to read any of it.
Everyone in the Bush administration takes their cue from the Great Ignoramous. Their motto seems to be: "You can only blame us for things we know about. And since we go out of our way to know nothing, you can't blame us for anything."
Or: "We're so incompetent and ignorant, we couldn't possibly have known anything. And it's grossly unfair to suggest otherwise."
And that's fine. That is the Bush administration. They don't know shit. They don't even pretend to try to know shit. In fact, rather than being embarrassed by it, rather than their utter ignorance of everything that has to do with their jobs being a political liability, the Bushies get on television or testify before Congress and brag about how they don't know anything about anything.
That's the Bush administration.
But, come on!
Rumsfeld says something, anything, and your liberal media reports it like it might actually be true? Has the guy ever been right about anything??? By this time, shouldn't every newspaper story in the country that quotes Rumsfeld include the reasonable disclaimer that, "Rumsfeld said...but he is generally acknowledged to be wrong about everything"?
After all this, Christ, Donald Rumsfeld couldn't convince me that my face was on fire even if he was holding the lighter and spraying gasoline in my eyes.
Whatever. Sleep tight America. Your military is in fine shape. Donald Rumsfeld says so.
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